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	<title>Howard Lindzon &#187; Trading Rules</title>
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		<title>Case Study &#8211; Broken Trends&#8230;First Marblehead (FMD)</title>
		<link>http://howardlindzon.com/case-study-broken-trendsfirst-marblehead-fmd/</link>
		<comments>http://howardlindzon.com/case-study-broken-trendsfirst-marblehead-fmd/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Dec 2007 15:28:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Howard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Trading Rules]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Following]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wallstrip]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WallStrip.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wallstripped]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://howardlindzon.com/?p=3015</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[First Marblehead (FMD, Wallstrip) has become a trainwreck. It did not take long. Take a look at the last few months . A better symbol [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>First Marblehead (FMD, Wallstrip) has become a trainwreck.  It did not take long.  <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:FMD&#038;source=finance">Take a look at the last few months </a>.</p>
<p>A better symbol than FMD may just be WMD as this stock has been a weapon of mass wealth destruction of late.</p>
<p>I was stupid enough to pick this as a <a href="http://www.wallstrip.com/2007/02/08/2-8-07-first-marblehead-corp-fmd/">Wallstrip worthy stock back in February</a>.  I was smart enough (lucky) to stay away from it and <a href="http://howardlindzon.com/?p=1640">blog the same at the time </a>.  In March I actually blogged about it as a <a href="http://howardlindzon.com/?p=1799">short candidate </a>.  In April, after the FIRST 50 percent decline, <a href="http://howardlindzon.com/?p=1918">I revisited it </a>.  Thank goodness I passed.  Others have not been so lucky.</p>
<p>Few things here&#8230;If you buy broken, busted stocks like First Marblehead, you better know the freaking story because even if you THINK you know it, YOU DON&#8217;T.   I have been poking at Starbucks thinking I understand the broken possibilities.  It has poked me back with losses.</p>
<p>As I wrote back in March&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>One third of all stocks do the BIG ROUND TRIP to ZERO and that is why I don’t buy falling knives anymore. The few that go to zero that you and your conviction are buying all the way down will leave you broken.</p></blockquote>
<p>Trends end.  Stocks that make all-time highs can be at all-time lows shortly thereafter.  Remember that when you are feeling cocky and your stock looks invincible.  They are not!</p>
<p>Except Apple of course :) .</p>
<p>The stock market is not a game and not easy.</p>
<p>Disclosure &#8211; Long Apple
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		<title>Let me Share a Secret&#8230;PRICE is all that MATTERS</title>
		<link>http://howardlindzon.com/let-me-share-a-secretprice-is-all-that-matters/</link>
		<comments>http://howardlindzon.com/let-me-share-a-secretprice-is-all-that-matters/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Aug 2007 20:14:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Howard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trading Rules]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wallstrip]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WallStrip.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wallstripped]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://howardlindzon.com/?p=2448</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What an important time to turn off the television if you own or want to own stocks or even short them. Idiots are in charge. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What an important time to turn off the television if you own or want to own stocks or even short them.</p>
<p>Idiots are in charge.</p>
<p>They will freak you out at exactly the wrong time.</p>
<p>Every ass in the world is now pulling shit out of their archives about how they predicted this subprime disaster.  Everyone was right&#8230;ya right!  The inmates are running things.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2007/08/how_to_look_at.html">Here is a great post and link from Eddie at Crossing Wall Street </a>.</p>
<p>Read it.</p>
<p>Personally, I would replace the whole shebang with PRICE.  You could have been on MARS, returned two months ago and blindly seen the subprime and homebuilder runs were over and still made a fortune.   They were already down 50 percent.  We are talking two weeks ago.</p>
<p>Screw calling tops and bottoms and being early.  Like Eddie said in his reaction &#8211; <em>&#8216;Sometimes smart people do things that aren&#8217;t so smart&#8217;</em>.  Like my idiotic trade in homebuilders a few weeks back.  I thought they were overdone.  Key word &#8211; &#8216;THOUGHT&#8217;.  That&#8217;s for assholes.  I took my loss &#8211; thank goodness.</p>
<p><strong>Be late and be right and manage your money.  Enter strong trends and don&#8217;t stand in front of them.  Go with them. </strong></p>
<p>News and opinions are useless.
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		<item>
		<title>Planet Out (LGBT) &#8211; wooooo</title>
		<link>http://howardlindzon.com/planet-out-lgbt-wooooo/</link>
		<comments>http://howardlindzon.com/planet-out-lgbt-wooooo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jul 2007 14:35:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Howard</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trading Rules]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://howardlindzon.com/?p=2202</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I discussed on this blog a few weeks back that I was speculating in Planet Out (LGBT). I hope you are along for this ride. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I discussed on this blog a few weeks back that <a href="http://howardlindzon.com/?p=2130">I was speculating in Planet Out </a> (LGBT).  I hope you are along for this ride.</p>
<p>Today they announced a $26 million financing led by Allen Co.  Stock is up 20 percent and has the room to retry and execute.</p>
<p>Should be interesting.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s Canada day today so be nice to me.  I am a simple &#8216;hoser&#8217; EH!</p>
<p>I am looking at some interesting opportunities all month in Toronto and hopefully have some great ideas to share soon.
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