Based on these results we also developed a tool that any video creator can use to predict what their views will be at the end of a year, as well as what percentage of their total annual views have already lapsed. Pretty awesome.

What does all this mean? Howard’s erudite readers no doubt have insights, but here’s a stab: trends such as “evergreen” content always fetching views or videos randomly going viral are more of a rarity than an underlying trend in the data (although, in fairness to the “evergreen content,” the long tail above, while declining in potency as it approaches the x axis, would be significant if projected out a few years).

Gary knows how you do video and how you build an audience. I am learning from it. No tricks. It’s web 2.0 though and has never been covered at TechCrunch.

You show up, you have passion , you block and tackle. Guess what…you attract a passionate community.

Oh…and you succeed.

Thank goodness Gary stuck to wine and knows nothing about stocks. In fact, drunk CNBC is a great episode that I will write tonight for Wallstrip. Sweet.

I sold half my Google position in celebration of the euphoria…at $617.

Lot’s of nerd takes over at TechMeme. I like reading Ashkan on days like today who has an entrrpreneurial, ground floor media view on the announcement .

I respectfully disagree with his view on Content being the next big wave of VC investment , just not enough leverage, but if he’s right, great.

Matthew Ingram says it could be genius or desperation . I don’t think it’s either, just business. The desperation thing makes for good headlines, but come on Matthew, Google paid squat (inflated paper) for this business and I have said from day one that the deal was cheap. The stock market money agreed. This is no Skype.

What is amazing is how huge a lead Google now has in Video. It’s like every other player has backed off, stood still and switched away from being in the market with YouTube. That is never a good thing for the market. Great for Google’s stock though…hence the $600 plus price tag today.

Check out the service .

They have great leadership and are having fun despite all the blocking and tackling you must do to gain attention. Here they are spoofing there own homerun video Internet People .

I also like the pace and the hostess from their new green webshow – ViroPop - …check it out:

This year, just the themes I will be watching.

1. Commodities – For 2007 my focus will be more on water.

2. Mergers – a continuation of this trend. Bigger and Bolder and more egotistical than ever!

3. More IPO’s – I think entrepreneurs will show more balls this year and stop building to sell and start building to BE SOMEBODY! Update – Here is a recap of 2005 and 2006 IPO numbers.

4. Handheld Wars – NOT Music – Apple won that!

5. Internet – I will defer to Fred Wilson’s posts on 2007 themes. You should too.

6. Healthcare – This area of the stock market is sure to have some major winners. Sleep, Biotech, Infectious Disease. It would be great to see some major breakthroughs in 2007.

7. Inflation or Deflation – While that ridiculous debate continues that no one wins, I will focus on how can I make money off the areas of inflation and the areas of deflation in the global systems.

8. The Tapped Consumer – I am tapped. The average consumer is way past tapped. I am not shorting stocks, but I am tempted in stocks that are a play on the tapped consumer.

9. Porn – No explanation needed :) .

10. Broadband Internet Video. Yes – Fred is the internet guru in my eyes, but I feel I have some expertise here and there is likely to be some major busts and new winners in this space in 2007 and beyond.

“Braveheart my ass!” Laughed my ass off hysterical.

I am really liking the ease of use of Veoh for navigation and finding videos.

My friend Bijan, one of the VC’s in Veoh just pinged me with some big announcements for Veoh. I agree with the moves but they still need a Revver type widget like the one we use to distribute Wallstrip.

I think the advertisers are aggressively coming over to test in this space and it should be interesting in 2007.

I decided not too long ago to simplify my investing strategy. I trust myself and prices. I stick to a money management plan. The prices don’t lie.

Trend following is really about prices in the end. I don’t get mad at stocks anymore. It’s not their fault they do what they do.

When CROX hit an all-time high not to long ago, I wrote one of my favorite posts. I got long on a simple signal – an all-time high. I followed it with another post as CROX kept on chugging. Yesterday, it hit $40. I have no idea where it will be tomorrow. Who cares?

I am not smart or stupid. With CROX, “The Price just HAPPENS to be Right” (a little Bob Barker retirement love), for now :) .

In August, Forbes wrote an article that panned the Company. The stock was at $24. They told their readers to dump the stock. The author made no position disclosure. She did make a nice case for hating the stock and expecting the bottom to drop out. That only cost investor’s that followed Forbe’s opinion 65 plus percent in two months. Nice.

At $28, Tim Beyers of the Motley Fool had a headline that said SHORT CROX. His awesome OPINION followed. He had no position. Sweet.

Smarter people than me have said : “Opinions are like assholes…”

I have many opinions, but I follow the trend. CROX is trending nicely. The business is trending unbelievably well. That is not an opinion – look at the numbers. The catalyst in MY mind going forward is private label. It is not a decision that I base my purchase on, but something that I feel. It is irrelevant to my position once it is in place.

The CROX post above made me think about product “tipping points” and Web 2.0. As I researched my original CROX post, I found hundreds of Flickr photos that CROX owners took of their shoes. Why?

Long story short, I asked Fred Wilson if he knew of someone that tracked social sites for trends. Of course he did! Today we introduce the Wallstrip widget powered by Infofilter.

I think we are on to something. It’s about public consciousness. If it is important enough, important and powerful trends should show themselves and persist in Web 2.0 social sites like Flickr and YouTube.

The widget is not perfect – YET. That would not be any fun. I FEEL like we are on to something and it is fun to experiment and get started.

Disclosure – Long CROX and own “knockoffs” :) .

PS – I will state my opinon often about stocks, The Phoenix Sun’s, other bloggers and some random stuff. Do yourself a favor if you read them – ignore them.

PSS – working on an ABOUT section for all my posts over at Wallstrip.

ABOUT Howard:

He’s an ass. Don’t believe me…watch the show :) .

Thoughts?